Election betting odds became less accurate as primaries neared, report finds

Oct 30, 2026 Economy

With midterm elections just days away, a new analysis is raising questions about the accuracy of online election prediction markets, finding that bettors were too confident about the chances of favored candidates in this year’s competitive primaries.

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FOR SUBSCRIBERSTrump pushes his administration to ramp up investigations into the Alaska Senate race

FOR SUBSCRIBERSChinese hackers used DeepSeek and other AI tools in sweeping global cyberattacks, report finds

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAn ugly, Islamophobic turn in Michigan’s Senate race

FOR SUBSCRIBERSIsrael’s Arab parties emerge from election as kingmakers and a focus of anger

FOR SUBSCRIBERSCruise company had troubled history before abandoning passengers in Cambodia

FOR SUBSCRIBERSDark money group seeks to undercut Republican candidates with pro-gun voters

FOR SUBSCRIBERSAmy Acton’s mom, who called her a ‘liar’ in Ramaswamy ad, faced years of turmoil, records show

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFDA plans to update nutrition rules for infant formula

FOR SUBSCRIBERSHow French student protests over schools escalated into nationwide riots

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTrump says Alaska’s Democratic Senate candidate should be prosecuted over Dan Sullivan ballot dispute

FOR SUBSCRIBERSHow Colorado became a battlefield in the legal fight between LGBTQ and religious rights

FOR SUBSCRIBERSHow California prison reforms helped free a serial rapist called ‘America’s creepiest heir’

FOR SUBSCRIBERSTrump’s final campaign swing is taking on a darker tone

FOR SUBSCRIBERSMel Robbins has midterms advice for you

FOR SUBSCRIBERSFlorida cop charged with possessing dead man’s house had history of misconduct

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